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A registered result in its source context

Original ledger classification: Data confrontation [N]/[C] + [X] (two near-term kill tests)

Recorded statement: LIVE KILL-TEST SCORECARD OF THE RECENT ROUND'S COMPUTABLE PREDICTIONS (2026-06-18): a data-confrontation consolidation (confronts, does not add physics), each row tagged with the decisive near-term experiment. [N] PMNS angles: sin^2…

Statement, assumptions and sources

Paper context: Frontier and open physical interfaces

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PRED.LIVE.01

Original ledger classification: Data confrontation [N]/[C] + [X] (two near-term kill tests)

Original claim text

LIVE KILL-TEST SCORECARD OF THE RECENT ROUND'S COMPUTABLE PREDICTIONS (2026-06-18): a data-confrontation consolidation (confronts, does not add physics), each row tagged with the decisive near-term experiment. [N] PMNS angles: sin^2 th12=1/3-phi0/2=0.30675 vs NuFIT 0.303(12) [+0.31 sigma]; sin^2 th13=phi0 e^{-5/6}=0.02311 vs 0.02225(59) [+1.45 sigma]; sin^2 th23=0.5 maximal (octant-ambiguous) -- decisive JUNO/Daya-Bay/DUNE. [C] leptonic CP: J_PMNS=-0.0297 (J_max 0.0342 vs NuFIT 0.0332 ~3%), delta=240 vs NuFIT ~232(30) -- decisive DUNE/Hyper-K. [X] Sigma m_nu NO floor=0.0586 eV vs Planck+BAO<0.12, DESI~<0.072 (consistent at the edge; Sigma<0.0586 excludes the NO m1~0 spectrum) -- decisive DESI/CMB-S4. [X] proton decay tau_p(p->e+pi0)=1.55e35 yr for the E8-allowed +(15,1,1) content vs Super-K>2.4e34 (safe); minimal 16-Higgs 4.4e33 EXCLUDED -- decisive Hyper-Kamiokande (reach ~1.4e35). [N] closed readouts alpha^-1=137.0359992 (1.9 sigma known offset), Omega_b=(1-1/4pi)phi0=0.04894, birefringence beta=phi0/(4pi)=0.2424 deg -- decisive CMB birefringence. [N] all confronted rows consistent < 2 sigma; 2 sharp near-term kill tests (Sigma m_nu floor, proton decay).

Original classification detail

[N]/[C] data confrontation (pulls vs current bounds) + [X] the two sharp near-term kill tests. A consolidation/scorecard, not new physics.

Dependencies as recorded

FLAV.TH13.01; FLAV.PMNS.03; FLAV.NUSCALE.01; PS.PROTON.02; EM.FP.01

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Registered verification modules

  • v283_live_killtest_scorecard.pyRegistered verification module · frontier
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    PRED.LIVE.01 — a live kill-test scorecard of the recent round's computable predictions vs current data, each tagged with the decisive experiment. [N] PMNS angles sin²θ₁₂=0.30675 (+0.31σ), sin²θ₁₃=0.02311 (+1.45σ), θ₂₃ maximal; [C] leptonic CP J_PMNS=−0.0297 (J_max ~3% from NuFIT), δ=240° vs ~232(30); [X] Σm_ν NO floor=0.0586 eV (consistent at the edge, DESI/CMB-S4 decisive); [X] proton decay τ_p=1.55e35 yr for +(15,1,1) (safe; minimal excluded; Hyper-K decisive); [N] closed readouts α⁻¹, Ω_b=0.04894, β=0.2424°; [N] all rows consistent < 2σ, 2 sharp near-term kill tests. A consolidation, not new physics.

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