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Original ledger classification: Numerical/data [N]

Recorded statement: Confrontation of TFPT predictions with current research data (2024/25) - honest scorecard incl. tensions [N], data-confrontation (Python-only, external data). STRONG MATCHES: alpha^-1=137.035 999 2 vs CODATA 137.035 999 177 (~9 sig figs);…

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Paper context: Origin Theory

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DATA.SCORECARD.01

Original ledger classification: Numerical/data [N]

Original claim text

Confrontation of TFPT predictions with current research data (2024/25) - honest scorecard incl. tensions [N], data-confrontation (Python-only, external data). STRONG MATCHES: alpha^-1=137.0359992 vs CODATA 137.035999177 (~9 sig figs); sin^2 th12=0.30675 vs NuFIT 6.0 (2024) 0.307+-0.012 (0.02 sigma); beta_rad=0.2424 deg vs ACT DR6 (Diego-Palazuelos-Komatsu 2025) 0.215+-0.074 (0.37 sigma). MILD ~2 sigma TENSIONS: sin^2 th13=0.0231 vs NuFIT 0.02195+-0.00058 (1.98 sigma high); R+R^2 Starobinsky n_s=0.960-0.967 consistent with Planck 0.9649 but ~2 sigma below the DESI-combined P-ACT-LB 0.9743+-0.0034 (DESI-driven shift under discussion; CMB-only favors Starobinsky range). OPEN: theta23 octant ([P], NuFIT ambiguous 0.470/0.561). FUTURE FALSIFIER: tensor-to-scalar r~0.004 (Starobinsky), well below bound ~0.03, testable by CMB-S4/LiteBIRD. Honest verdict: impressive matches AND real current ~2 sigma tests - a falsifiable theory, not self-confirming

Original classification detail

Numerical/data [N]

Dependencies as recorded

v3; v16; v21; v8; v60

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  • v62_data_scorecard.pyRegistered verification module · frontier
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    TFPT vs 2024/25 data scorecard

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