Theta13 budget
v338_theta13_budget.py · neutrinos
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THETA13.BUDGET.01: the theta13 sub-leading budget vs the current global fit -- the +2 sigma pressure point (v328) quantified against BOTH NuFIT 6.0 NO variants and JUNO; neither defuses nor excludes, fences correctly. [N] SK-DEPENDENT TENSION: sin^2 theta13 = phi0 e^{-5/6} = 0.023108 is +2.0 sigma vs the no-SK central (0.02195) and +1.7 sigma vs the with-SK NO best fit (0.02215) -- NOT a clean 2 sigma. [E] WITHIN 3 SIGMA: 0.023108 < the with-SK 3 sigma upper 0.02388 (not falsified). [N] BUDGET: moving to the central needs -4.1%; RG < 1% and the exponent 5/6 is exact => no freeze-respecting relief (v328). [X] JUNO DECIDES: sub-1% precision turns 1.7-2.0 sigma into ~6 sigma -- near-term pre-registered kill/confirm. One honest pressure point (v306/v328), fenced.
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