Publication history: 2026-08-04

Summary

A pure data-refresh against the August-2026 literature — no new analysis of our own, honest in both directions. CONFIRMING: JUNO's Neutrino-2026 update (207 days) lands at \sin^2\theta_{12}=0.3036\pm0.0064 — the sharpest single measurement of the solar angle, +0.49\sigma from the frozen prediction 0.306747, central value moving toward it from the 59.1-day run; ICARUS's first standalone result (no \nu_\mu disappearance, new 3{+}1 exclusions at 90\% CL) adds another sterile null exactly as N_{\mathrm{fam}}=3 requires; the sequentially-valid DESI reanalysis localises the evolving-dark-energy signal almost entirely in the LRG2 bin (without it the evidence collapses, mildly pro-\LambdaCDM — the dissolution trend the w=-1 watchdog predicts); two new independent birefringence analyses (\beta=0.30^\circ\pm0.05^\circ constant-model-preferred; PR4 field-level 0.32^\circ\pm0.12^\circ) stay consistent with the 0.2424^\circ seed; CMB-SPA H_0=67.19\pm0.38 lands +0.11\sigma from the parameter-free budget 67.15 (correlated legs, never a new independent hit). WEAKENING, equally prominent: CMB-SPA (SPT-3G D1+ACT+Planck) gives n_s=0.9679\pm0.0033 — the central value sits above the TFPT band edge 0.967 for the first time (edge at -0.27\sigma, preferred branch 0.9611 at -2.06\sigma; not yet the dated kill “robustly \ge0.967”, typed an honest mild weakening, scorecard row tension + watch-flag); the DESI DR2 effective-mass posterior keeps the \Sigma m_\nu=0.0588 eV floor under +3.1\sigma model-dependent pressure (unchanged, on record). ONE BRIDGE DIES: the muon g{-}2 seam-vertex bridge's dated kill condition (2026-07-02) has FIRED — WP25 (Phys. Rep. 2025) adopts the lattice HVP as the SM baseline and the BMW hybrid evaluation (Nature 2026) confirms it, experiment-SM =0.5\sigma, so the converged \Delta a_\mu lies outside 2.879\times10^{-9}\pm0.5\times10^{-9}: the vertex identification is excluded in its present form, the scorecard row is typed kill_channel, ledger FR.MUONG2.01 carries the dated kill note, and tfpt_4_frontier gets the dated update paragraph + summary-table move [C]\to[X]on the bridge — the exact compiler number \delta_2/(2\pi) and the compiler core are untouched (no core marker moves): the watchdog delivered exactly what it was built for. OPERATIONAL: the Vela GO-programme preregistration is FROZEN as experiments/p9-forecast/hypotheses/p9_go_programmes_v1.yaml ahead of the expected 2026/27 giant-glitch window (no glitch since 2024-04-29; long-component decision rule and the 8-TOAs/day cadence requirement inside; draft SHA recorded as provenance); CHIME/FRB Catalog-2 + RepCat4 data-availability notes recorded in repeater-cascade and frb-ontology. Scorecard 120\to121 typed rows (consistent 49\to47, null 27, parked 4, kill_channel 1); predictions.ts mirrors the JUNO/n_s/g{-}2 status; no verification module touched, no core marker moves